MLB Betting: Tigers v Athletics and Cardinals v Nationals



Detroit Tigers v Oakland Athletics

The Detroit Tigers should get the better of the Oakland A’s at home in their American League Divisional Series Sunday. The pitching match-up favours the Tigers. There are a couple of red flags for A’s starter Tommy Milone. The first is that he struggles on the road: he's registered a 4.83 ERA away from Oakland and a 2.74 ERA at home. The other issue is that while some of his numbers as of late look good – he was 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his final five starts – a deeper peek suggests he might have been lucky. Most notably, opponents hit .339 against Milone during that stretch.

The Tigers’ Doug Fister is on a more meaningful roll. His 2.67 ERA was third in the American League among starters after the All-Star Game (and his peripheral stats back up that performance). He also knows how to pitch to the A’s: He gave up just one run on five hits over six innings when he last pitched against Oakland on May 12. Pick the Tigers at 1.57, rather than the A’s at 2.40.

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

Look for the Washington Nationals to get off to a good start in their National League Divisional Series against the St. Louis Cardinals. After looking good for most of the second half of the season, Cards starter Adam Wainwright waned right at the end, posting a 4.20 ERA in five starts. That was his worst ERA since June. In particular, he saw his walks and hits per inning pitched (WHIP), which is a key stat in determining quality of performance, skyrocket in that month. He has not pitched well against the Nationals this year: in two starts, Wainwright gave up seven runs and fourteen hits in 8 2/3 innings pitched.

The Washington starter, Gio Gonzalez, is currently on his game. In the final month of the season he posted his best ERA (1.74). Gonzalez has excelled against today's opposition; in one start versus the Cardinals, he threw a complete-game shutout, allowing just five hits and three walks while striking out eight. Go with the Nationals at 1.95 instead of the Cardinals at 1.85.