The visiting Pittsburgh Pirates have a good chance of stealing a win on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers. The key in this contest is a willingness to bet on the continued struggles of Tigers starter Max Scherzer. The right-hander has looked off all season, as his 6.23 ERA reflects. In his last start, for example, he allowed six runs and eight hits in four-plus innings of work against the Chicago White Sox.
The Pirates starter Kevin Correia hasn’t been dominant this year (1-4 with a 4.50 ERA), but he just needs to perform well enough if Scherzer continues his trend of imploding on the pitcher’s mound. One reassuring fact: Correia has been steady over his career against the Tigers, going 5-5 with a 3.87 ERA. If you’re feeling like taking a bit of a long shot, sign up for Pittsburgh at 2.55, rather than Detroit for 1.52.
A stronger bet can be found in Milwaukee were the Brewers face off against the Minnesota Twins. The Brewers’ starter Zack Greinke (4-1, 2.88 ERA) has been on a roll of late. He has a 15-inning scoreless streak in which he’s conceded just seven hits, no walks and has struck out 18. It’s hard to bet against Greinke at home, where the club is 18-1 in games he’s started over the past two seasons.
As for the Twins, they have the second-worst offence in the American League and their starter in this one, Jason Marquis, has a 6.68 ERA. The Brewers are strong favourites in this one at 1.42 and should be chosen over the long-shot Twins at 2.90.