Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals
There’s a nice mismatch in Detroit tonight when the Tigers take on the Kansas City Royals. Detroit starter Justin Verlander has absolutely owned the Kansas City during his eight-year career. He has an astounding 14-2 record with a 2.37 ERA over 133 innings (that’s not a small sample set). Already this year, the Tigers are 3-0 against the Royals. KC lefty Jonathan Sanchez faced them earlier this year and got out with a no-decision (five innings, four hits, three walks and two runs). But in his subsequent start, which was Sanchez’s last time out, he was horrible walking seven and allowing four runs in 4 2/3 innings. Sanchez can be streaky with his control problems so expect a carry over here and a Tigers win (at 1.32). The Royals are a poor proposition – even at good odds (3.40).
Houston Astros v New York Mets
After a promising first few games, the Houston Astros have been just about as woeful as most pundits predicted, sitting near the bottom of the National League Central tables. But this midweek home contest against the New York Mets is a nice underdog play. The Astros send their best pitcher into battle, Wandy Rodriguez. The left-hander has been stellar, posting a 1.72 ERA through five starts. Mets hitters haven’t been as successful against lefties this year as righties (.332 on-base percentage versus left-handers compared to .350 OBP against right-handers). Also, as bad as Houston has been, they have played better at home than on the road. Add Mets starting pitcher Chris Schwinden (11.25 ERA) into the mix and Houston, on at 1.72, has a decent chance against the Mets at 2.12.