MLB Betting: Toronto face Indians massacre

Look for an upset in Toronto when the Cleveland Indians visit the Blue Jays on Tuesday. 

No doubt, Toronto is the favourite in this one. They start 2012 National League with the Cy Young Award winner and new acquisition RA Dickey and boast a deep line up. But the bet here is on Dickey having some adjustment issues. 

Last year, in his opening start he struggled a bit, walking four batters in six innings. He is also making his first start as an American League pitcher since 2009. Butterflies for the knuckleballer are likely. 

Moreover, the Indians starter Justin Masterson has the skill set to be dominating. In fact, despite having mechanical issues last year, he felt particularly comfortable in Toronto in his only start there throwing seven inning of shutout ball. With a better Cleveland lineup, take the Indians at 2.50 instead of the Blue Jays at 1.55.

Another value option is going with under eight runs at 1.85 when the Texas Rangers visit the Houston Astros. The inclination is to assume that the Rangers will run away with this game, but Astros’ starter Lucas Harrell is a little-known gem. 

Harrell delivered a 3.76 ERA in 2012 and did his best work at home where he posted a 2.34 ERA. This spring he’s continued to deliver, registering a 2.50 ERA over five appearances.

If Harrell can do his job, the Rangers’ pitcher Yu Darvish will be just fine. Darvish should have worked out the kinks in what was a strong, but uneven, first season. Moreover, if 2012 is any indication, he starts strong. Case in point: In the first month of last season he was 4-0 with a 2.18 ERA. 

Best Bet: Back the Cleveland Indians at 2.5 against the Toronto Blue Jays

Follow Josh Chetwynd's MLB betting tips every day