MLB Betting: Twins v White Sox and Rockies v Padres

Scott Diamond’s struggles for the Twins portend good things for the Chicago White Sox in Minnesota on Sunday. Since being slapped with a six-game suspension for throwing in the vicinity of Josh Hamilton’s head, Diamond has struggled; he’s 1-2 and has given up 13 earned runs in 18 innings.

While I’ve had concerns about fatigue for White Sox hurler Jake Peavy (his 192 2/3 innings pitched already this season is the most he’s thrown in a year since 2007), he’s proved surprisingly durable. The left-hander hasn’t pitched as well since the All-Star break (3.96 ERA) as he did in the first half (2.85 ERA), but his performance has been solid – or at least solid enough to out-duel a scuffling Diamond. Go with the White Sox at 1.72 and pass on the Twins at 2.12.

The contest between the Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres at Petco Park is a reminder that being labeled a prospect can be overrated. Alex White was drafted in the first round of the 2009 draft by the Cleveland Indians. He was so highly touted that he was part of the package that sent then-star Ubaldo Jimenez from the Rockies to the Indians. But White has not lived up to expectations. This year he is 2-8 with a 5.18 ERA and, most troublingly, he’s walked 43 batters in 88 2/3 innings, which is a terrible ratio.

In contrast, San Diego Padres pitcher Andrew Werner was so unheralded he was signed out of an open tryout camp. Yet he hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of his four starts this year and has struck out an impressive 23 in 23 1/3 innings, in large part thanks to great command on his slider and change up. Bottom line: performance counts and Werner should lead the Padres (1.60) to victory over the Rockies (2.35).