Home run (Safe bet)
Pick the Los Angeles Dodgers, on at 1.45, to win at home versus the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Diamondbacks enter this Sunday match-up in such disarray. They just fired their general manager Kevin Towers and came into the weekend with a horrific 11-19 record over their past thirty games. Their starter Trevor Cahill’s work is emblematic of this disastrous season. He’s 3-10 with a 5.06 ERA. His recent work has been particularly troubling. In his past two starts he owns an 11.05 ERA.
The Dodgers, who are still battling to maintain their lead in the National League West, are motivated. Moreover, they’re sending Hyun-jin Ryu to the pitcher’s mound. Ryu has been a solid 14-6 with a 3.18 ERA. He’s also dominated in his two starts against this divisional foe. In those games against the Diamondbacks, he pitched 12 innings and allowed four hits and zero runs.
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
Pick the San Diego Padres at 1.75 to snag a road victory against the Colorado Rockies.
San Diego is typically a terrible away team, but there are some mitigating factors in this one that should carry the day for the Southern California club. The first is the team is playing quite well lately. In their last thirty games, they’ve posted a 17-13 record. The second is Tyson Ross is pitching. The 27-year-old has been excellent all year, posting a 2.60 ERA. While, like most Padres pitchers, Ross is better at home (1.88 ERA), he is reasonably good on the road (3.44 ERA). But most important, he showed comfort in his only other start at Coors Field this year. The Denver venue can crush pitchers, but Ross threw a solid six innings, giving up just two runs there.
In contrast, the Rockies continue to woefully limp to the end of the season. They are 12-18 in their past thirty and give the pitching assignment here to a player who doesn’t engender much confidence. Franklin Morales has just been getting worse all season. He owns an overall ERA of 5.46, but in his past five appearances that number has skyrocketed to 7.25. Morales will not feel the home field bounce either. In his seventeen appearances at Coors Field, he has a 5.62 ERA.