MLB Betting: Verlander to fire Tigers to win over Yankees

An in-form Jose Quintana should be the difference-maker for the Chicago White Sox when they host the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. Quintana has been impressively consistent since the beginning of July. In seven starts over that span, the left-hander hasn’t given up more than three runs in any of his starts. His efforts in this contest will be helped by a Twins offence that’s really struggled to get things going on the road: in 58 road games, the team has posted an anemic .229 batting average (as opposed to a .255 batting average at home).

Minnesota starter Kevin Correia has also been horrible on the road. Overall, the pitcher is 2-7 with a 6.87 ERA in away games. In fact, in his last two road outings he’s combined to give up 12 runs in just 2 2/3 innings pitched. Look for the White Sox to prevail and consider them a good proposition at 1.66.

Justin Verlander will get a reprieve from his worst season in half a decade thanks to the timing of his Detroit Tigers’ away game against the New York Yankees. While the former Cy Young Award winner is 12-8, his 3.74 ERA is his poorest result in that statistical category since 2008. But the 1:05 p.m. start time for this game at Yankee Stadium will assure he’s pitching like an ace. Quite simply, he’s a beast in the daylight hours: in 94 daytime starts, he has a magnificent 54-19 record with a 2.84 ERA. (He isn’t quite as good at night – his record drops to 82-54 with a 3.79 ERA under the lights.)

Verlander will also be boosted by a poor New York line-up. The Yankees rank 14th out of 15 American League teams in runs scored per game, and while they have Alex Rodriguez back in their line-up, the one-time star is a shell of his former self.

As for Detroit, they are the best run-producing club in the AL and face a starter in Andy Pettitte who is well past his prime. If his current 4.71 ERA stands, it’ll be his worst performance in that category in his 18-year career. (He did have a 4.70 ERA way back in 1999.) Sadly for Pettitte fans, pitching at Yankee Stadium has not been a good thing for the left-hander this season: he’s 3-4 with a 5.40 ERA there. Verlander and his Tigers (1.55) are the pick in this game.