The New York Yankees may not have an ace on the mound at home against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, but they should nevertheless win on Saturday. Yankees starter Freddy Garcia has not been his best this year (3-2 with a 5.23 ERA), but he has a couple of factors working for him in this match up. First, he is coming off his best start of the season: he threw 6 2/3 innings and allowed just one run against the Boston Red Sox. Second, Garcia has always pitched well against the Angels. Over 27 lifetime starts, he’s 15-3 with a 2.59 ERA.
Los Angeles counter with Jerome Williams, who will be coming off the disabled list (asthma) for this clash. Earlier this year Williams made his first start at Yankee Stadium with disastrous results: he was shelled for five runs on five hits and three walks in 2 2/3 innings. There’s nothing to suggest this time will go much better. Choose the Yankees at 1.67 instead of the Angels at 2.20.
It’s hard to support Tim Lincecum until he starts showing some of his old form. As a result, look for the Houston Astros to take one from the Giants when they play in San Francisco. Lincecum has suffered through a nightmare season; he has a 3-10 record with a 6.42 ERA. While he has thrown better at the pitcher friendly AT&T Park (a 3.99 ERA), he faces off against a surprisingly decent Astros line up (they’ve scored more runs per game so far in 2012 than the Giants).
The Astros are going with their most consistent starter, Wandy Rodriguez. He’s 7-6 with a 3.37 ERA and, despite being on the trading block recently, he hasn’t withered under the pressure, going 3-2 with a sturdy 3.82 ERA over his past four starts. Pick the Astros to upend the Giants.