The Colorado Rockies are a strong pick to win at home on Monday against the San Francisco Giants.
Whenever Barry Zito gets the pitching assignment in an away game, it’s a good time to bet against the Giants. Quite simply, the San Francisco left-hander is one of baseball’s worst road pitchers – if not the worst road pitcher.
In 12 starts this season outside of AT&T Park, Zito is 0-7 with a 9.07 ERA. He’s already been hit around quite a bit at Coors Field this season. In two outings there, he’s 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA. Amazingly, he’s given up a profligate 21 hits in just 11 innings in Denver.
While Colorado has an overall record well under .500 in 2013, that’s primarily a reflection on how poorly they perform on the road. At home, the club’s winning percentage is around .570.
Despite the hardships of having to pitch in the very offensive friendly Coors Field, Rockies starter Juan Nicasio has actually put up respectable numbers there. In 10 starts he’s 3-1 with a 3.95 ERA. Pick the Rockies (1.63) to capture the home win.
Expect a low scoring contest when the Philadelphia Phillies travel to New York to take on the Mets.
Both clubs have been below par offensively this season – with the Phillies actually ranking second-to-last in the National League in runs scored per game. Moreover, Citi Field rates 27th out of thirty stadiums in terms of run scoring this year, according to ESPN’s MLB Park Factors.
Those facts combined with the pitchers slated for this clash will make an offensive explosion unlikely. Philadelphia’s Cliff Lee has been his usual solid self this campaign, owning a 10-6 record and a 3.16 ERA. But he’s been particularly useful on the road, where his numbers are 6-2 with a 2.59 ERA.
His opponent, Zack Wheeler, had been very good in his rookie campaign. He’s 6-2 with a 3.49 ERA and has been hitting a positive stride as of late. In his past three starts he’s 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA. The upshot: The run total to remain below seven. Take that proposition at 1.76.
Back the Colorado Rockies to beat the San Francisco Giants at 1.63
Back under 7 runs between the New York Mets and the Colorado Phillies
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