Miami Heat 1.28 – Brooklyn Nets 3.70 (Heat lead 3-1)
The two hot tips to clash in the NBA Finals have the chance to advance to the Conference Finals on Wednesday night and grab a little extra rest.
And with home advantage, Miami – currently 2.30 to retain the title – like their chances against a Brooklyn side which lacks the ruthless streak to exploit the Heat’s inconsistencies.
In Game 4, it needed a 49-point haul from LeBron James to give the champions a 102-96 win, a timely boost with Dwyane Wade averaging a mere 16.6 per game in this post-season and Chris Bosh chipping on only 14.4.
It’s perhaps an indication of the issues in pacing a veteran group that Erik Spoelstra handed his team a day off on Tuesday but there remains the risk that the Heat will eventually run out of steam.
In their favour? Indiana, despite their revival, showed on Tuesday that they are not the side they were three months ago. Washington, similarly, is a class below.
The Heat, on their own floor, are worth a punt to close off their semi-final series on a handicap of -10.5 at 2.55. It’s hard to see them stopping short of the Finals but take a look now at the West to provide this season’s champ at 1.88.
San Antonio Spurs 1.27 – Portland Trail Blazers 3.85 (Spurs lead 3-1)
San Antonio can use all the rest they can get and they blew the opportunity to complete a sweep of Portland in Monday’s 103-92 loss.
However, it remains the elephant in the room that no-one has ever shaken off a 3-0 deficit to progress in the Playoffs and from Games 1-3, the Spurs – 3.10 for the title - looked untouchable.
If the Blazers are to survive to the weekend, they’ll surely need to hold their rivals under 95 points in a tally under 200, available at 2.90.
With their season at stake, there’s some value in Portland on the handicap of +6.5 at 2.06 but it’s hard to see San Antonio missing a second shot at moving on.
Best bet: Go under the line of 18.5 points from Dwyane Wade in Miami-Brooklyn at 1.90