NHL Betting: Boston to fly past grounded Penguins

Mauled 6-1 two days ago in Game 2, it's almost do or die for the Pittsburgh Penguins as the series switches to TD Garden in Boston. 

The last team to come back from going down 2-0 at home in a Conference Final was you guessed it, the Penguins versus the Bruins in 1991. Boston will be wary of history repeating itself, but with the dominance of their wins so far and the apparent disarray of their opponents, it's certainly looking rosy for them. 

A major indicator of a change in tact by the Bruins has been the hitting stats. 

Though the regular season and first two rounds they have been amongst the most physical sides. In the first two games here they've been much more passive - their total almost half that of the Pens. 

Offensively Pittsburgh have just been trying to force the clever pass rather than simplifying to gain some confidence first. On Monday, Sidney Crosby alone had four giveaways, twice as many as the entire Bruins team.

Another issue for the Pens' is whether Marc-Andre Fleury or Tomas Vokoun starts in net tonight.

Vokoun was yanked after three goals. Personally I think Vokoun has been hard done by but if they don't have confidence in him it's the right thing to do. 

Fleury is the man they won the Cup with after all, though his play-off performances over the past two campaigns have been notably abject. 

If the skaters in front of them continue to play poorly, it won't make too much difference and  you can get 2.95 on the Bruins to score over 3.5 goals. 

Put your money on Boston. It's a no-brainer at 2.35, considering what we've seen already. 

I'd even be tempted by the -1.5 handicap for the Bruins at 3.45, though the Penguins surely can't be that bad again.

Best Bet: Boston Bruins to win at 2.35

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